Arista Networks: Is It Too Late to Buy?
Hello! Today, I've brought this topic to you! We're diving into Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET), a stock that has been on an absolute tear, soaring 61% from its recent low. With such a massive run-up, investors are all asking the same question: Is the rocket ship out of fuel, or is Arista Networks still a smart buy right now? Let's break it down.
For a great example of their influence, look no further than their client list. Tech giants like Meta Platforms (Facebook) and Microsoft are major customers, accounting for over a third of Arista's revenue last year. This isn't just a small-time operation; they are integral to the infrastructure of the biggest cloud providers.
This critical role, especially with the explosion of Artificial Intelligence (AI), has led to incredible financial performance. In the first quarter of 2025, Arista's revenue shot up an impressive 28% to over $2 billion, with profits jumping 30%. The company is forecasting another 25% revenue increase for the second quarter. The demand for faster, more powerful networks to handle AI workloads is a massive tailwind for their business. In fact, Arista believes its AI-related networking business could hit $750 million this year alone!
This high multiple means that investors have very high expectations for the company's future performance. It's what we call being "priced for perfection." If Arista stumbles or its growth slows even slightly, the stock could take a hit. So, the risk for new investors is that all the good news and future potential is already baked into the current stock price.
This isn't a fluke. The demand for data center switches is expected to grow at an incredible 40% annually through 2029, largely driven by AI. Analysts see this trend and are actively increasing their future earnings estimates for the company. So while you're paying a premium today, you're investing in a company that is firing on all cylinders in a rapidly expanding market. For growth investors, buying a top-tier company with the potential to keep crushing expectations can often justify a high valuation.
Q2. Is Arista's stock expensive right now?
A. Yes, based on traditional metrics. It trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of 47, which is significantly higher than the Nasdaq-100 average of 32. This indicates that high growth expectations are already factored into its price.
Q3. What is the main reason to consider buying ANET stock despite its high price?
A. The primary reason is its powerful growth trajectory, fueled by the AI boom. The company is a market leader, consistently beats earnings estimates, and operates in a sector projected to grow massively. Investors are betting that Arista will continue to outperform expectations, justifying its premium valuation.